Policy Brief

15/07/2016

This Policy Viewpoint projects the economic impact over the next five years of the United Kingdom’s recent vote for Brexit. It is not based, however, on any agreement during this period between the EU and the UK on the latter’s terms of exit.

For comparison purposes, this publication simply juxtaposes the results from a Brexit-based scenario to those drawn from a Baseline Scenario that assumes the non-Brexit condition of ‘Business as Usual’.  Both scenarios are based on using the CAM global macro-econometric model (see, for example, the recent FEPS CAM-based Policy Brief on Global and European Imbalances, XX July 2016).

The Brexit scenario is based on making a small set of reasonable assumptions, mainly with regard to investment, consumption and the exchange rate (see similar assumptions made in the ‘Managing Chaos’ article in The Economist, July 2-8).

Read the policy viewpoint

Find all related publications
Publications
23/10/2022

The progressive potential of the EU

FEPS Primers Series - Richard Corbett
04/10/2022

Europe’s social integration

Welfare models and economic transformations
26/09/2022

Transforming the Political Union

Reinforcing europarties ahead of the European elections
28/03/2022

Citizens’ Europe – An institutional turn for an ever-democratic union?

Policy Study by FEPS Young Academic Network (FEPS YAN) The paper outlines a vision of […]
Find all related events
Events
Past
13 - 15/11/2022
Prague, Czech Republic

Friends of the Western Balkans

Closed-door roundtable
26 - 28/05/2022

Vision Conference on Future of Europe – The EU’s man on the moon moment

26 – 28 may 2022, Certosa di Pontignano (Siena) This Vision conference organized with the University of […]
21/03/2022
Florence (Italy)

The Future of Europe starts today

Florence (Italy), 21 March 2022 The European Parliament Former Members Association (FMA) and the Historical Archives of the European […]
Find all related news
News
21/06/2022

Ahead of this week’s European Council, progressive MEPs and MPs urge EU leaders to take resolute actions toward the Western Balkans

On 17 and 18 June, the ‘Friends of the Western Balkans’, the newly established network […]
17/06/2022

First meeting of the Friends of the Western Balkans

How do we get out of the dead end in the enlargement process?
28/01/2022

Roberto Gualtieri is FEPS’ Progressive Person of the Year

The recently-elected mayor of Rome Roberto Gualtieri was named Progressive Person of the Year by […]
25/05/2021

Commissioner Ferreira and Former HRVP Mogherini among the speakers that will join Call to Europe 10th edition

‘Recovering Europe: Mind the Social Gaps’ is the theme of the 10th edition of Call […]
Find all related in the media
In the media

Tyskland vill slopa vetorätt inom EU

by ETC 29/07/2022

Visioni e strategie per disegnare il futuro europeo 

by La Nazione 23/05/2022

2022: Pathway to reconstruction – EURACTIV

01/02/2022

A Europa sob teste de alta voltagem – PUBLICO

17/01/2022