Meeting the challenges from the populist right

A study of voter attitudes towards welfare and immigration in Denmark, Germany and Sweden

Policy Study

30/10/2024

This study, the outcome of a groundbreaking three-year project by FEPS, CEVEA, ARENA idé, and FES Nordics, dives deep into how social democratic parties (SDPs) in Europe—especially in Denmark, Germany, and Sweden—can reclaim their voter base and rebuild political momentum. Faced with a steady decline in support, SDPs are up against rising populist right-wing parties (PRPs) that have successfully capitalized on immigration anxieties, drawing in a significant number of working-class voters who once stood with the left.

Through extensive surveys, this research unpacks what SDPs voters care about: welfare, equality, and immigration. It reveals that while welfare and equality remain vital issues that unite voters across the working and middle classes, immigration is a more contentious topic. While working-class voters are more concerned about immigration, their support grows if immigrants are well-integrated socially and economically. Meanwhile, the new middle class remains largely open to immigration, creating a tricky balancing act for SDPs.

The findings suggest a powerful strategy for SDPs to counter PRPs: a renewed focus on welfare and economic justice, coupled with an immigration approach centred on successful integration and economic contribution. This dual focus could bridge social divides and foster a stronger, more cohesive voter base. Concluding with actionable strategies, this study maps out a promising pathway for SDPs to adapt to shifting voter dynamics, regain political strength, and stand resilient against the influence of populist right-wing movements across Europe.

For more information regarding this policy study, please connect with Céline Guedes (celine.guedes@feps-europe.eu).

Network
Arena idé
Cevea
Friedrich-Ebert-Stiftung
Related events
04/11/2024
FEPS HQ, Brussels (Expert meeting)

Meeting the challenges from the populist right

Publication launch
Find all related publications
Publications
16/12/2024

Next Left country case studies

Exploring the state of Social Democracy in France, Austria, Romania, the Netherlands, Italy and Australia
12/12/2024

The Politics of Polycrisis

10/09/2024

Progressive Migration Group Recommendations

05/09/2024

The new European solidarity mechanism: Towards a fair sharing of responsibility between member states?

New Pact Implementation series
Find all related Progressive Post
Progressive Post
23/10/2024

Europe’s demographic challenge: policies for sustainable generational renewal

30/11/2023

Is it time to turn down the volume on the migration debate?

Find all related events
Events
Upcoming
29/01/2025
FEPS HQ, Brussels

Progressive Yearbook Launch 2025

6th edition
Past
22/11/2024
Prague, Czech Republic

Social democratic failures and comebacks

Hard lessons to learn, inspiring examples to follow
05 - 06/12/2024
Vienna, Austria

The new EU term – How to bring Europe on the path for a socially just and green growth

Next Left Focus Group meeting
Find all related news
News
04/03/2024

FEPS at the PES Election Congress in Rome

07/12/2023

Call for Tender – Research on Migration

This call for tender closed on 05/01/2024
23/06/2023

Call for tender – research and project coordination

This call for tender closed on 23/07/2023
23/05/2023

Open Progressive University

FEPS launches first e-learning platform for Social Democrats
Find all related in the media
In the media

Italy’s scheme to offshore asylum claims should not be a model for the rest of Europe

by The Guardian 16/10/2024
Article from The Guardian which references the policy study "Responsibility-sharing or shifting? Implications of the New Pact for future EU cooperation with third countries" by FEPS, FES and EPC.

Durchhalten ist nicht unmöglich

by Frankfurter Hefte 06/12/2023
'Persevering is not impossible' Article by Ania Skrzypek, FEPS Director for Research and Training, on the future of social democracy in Europe

Is it time to turn down the volume on the migration debate?

by IPS Journal 13/11/2023
IPS Journal article about FEPS policy briefs 'Communicating on migration'

Sluta tro att SD-männen bara skojar om politiken

by AFTONBLADET 30/05/2023
'Stop thinking that the SD men are just joking about politics. When changes happen, they happen at lightning speed' Ania Skrzypek interviewed in this Swedish article about the Polish case